摘要
自苏联解体以后,中亚地区成了国际社会瞩目的焦点。作为曾经的苏联国家的一部分,目前该地区充满矛盾。地区内的两个大国——哈萨克斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦选择了不同的发展战略,导致了有趣而充满分歧的结果。取得独立后,哈萨克斯坦选择开放它的经济,而乌兹别克斯坦政府则专注于政治稳定和完全协调发展的经济。1990年代早期,乌兹别克斯坦的策略看上去更合理且更少痛苦,而哈萨克斯坦在那时遭受了严重的经济衰退。然而,到了世纪之交,哈萨克斯坦的经济表现远远超过了它的邻国。本文的目的是分析和比较哈萨克斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦独立早期所选择的两种不同的转型战略,以及评价未来几年里这两种战略的前景和它们所隐含的意义。
Abstract
Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, the Central Asia region has become a focus of the international community. As part of the past Soviet Union, this region is full of contradictions at present. Two major countries in this area - Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan have chosen different development strategies, which led to interesting and results full of differences. After gaining independence, Kazakhstan chose to open up its economy, and the government of Uzbekistan chose to focus on political stability and coordinated development in economy. In the early 1990s, Uzbekistan’s strategies seemed more reasonable and less painful, and Kazakhstan suffered a severe economic recession. However, by the turn of the century, Kazakhstan's economic performance is far better than its neighbor. The purpose of this paper is to analyze and compare the two different transition strategies of Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan in the early period of independence, and evaluates the prospects of these two strategies in the next few years and their implied meaning.
关键词
哈萨克斯坦 /
乌兹别克斯坦 /
转型战略
Key words
Kazakhstan /
Uzbekistan /
Transformation Strategy
【Kлючевые слова】Казахстан /
Узбекистан /
стратегия трансформации
伊尔纳扎罗夫.
哈萨克斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦独立以来的转型战略:悖论和前景?[J]. 俄罗斯研究. 2009, 159(5): 71-90
Farrukh K. Irnazarov.
The Transformation Strategy of Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan since Independence: Paradox and Prospects[J]. Russian Studies. 2009, 159(5): 71-90
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基金
本文是大众汽车基金会资助项目“中亚地区正在出现的市场经济:改革进程中的制度性支持”的成果之一。