An Empirical Analysis Regarding Whether Russia is Suffering from “Dutch disease”

GUO Xiao-Qiong

Russian Studies ›› 2009, Vol. 159 ›› Issue (5) : 91-101.

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Russian Studies ›› 2009, Vol. 159 ›› Issue (5) : 91-101.

An Empirical Analysis Regarding Whether Russia is Suffering from “Dutch disease”

  •  GUO  Xiao-Qiong
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Abstract

Whether Russia is suffering from “Dutch disease” has been a focus of debate in the academic community in recent years. Based on the theoretical model of “Dutch disease” and empirical analysis approaches including co-integration test, this article has discussed whether Russia is suffering from “Dutch disease” from three aspects: whether rising international oil prices led to the exchange rate appreciation, whether the “de-industrialization” phenomenon is appearing in the manufacturing sector and whether the wages are rising. According to the empirical analysis results, the author draws a conclusion that there exists a certain degree of “Dutch disease” phenomenon in Russia.

Key words

Russia / “Dutch disease” / Resources Transfer Effect / Expenditure Effect / Empirical Analysis
【Ключевые слова】Россия
/ «голландская болезнь» / эффект перемещения ресурсов / эффект расходов / эмпирический анализ

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GUO Xiao-Qiong. An Empirical Analysis Regarding Whether Russia is Suffering from “Dutch disease”[J]. Russian Studies. 2009, 159(5): 91-101
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